Politic?

This is a blog dedicated to a personal interpretation of political news of the day. I attempt to be as knowledgeable as possible before commenting and committing my thoughts to a day's communication.

Sunday, July 26, 2020

Behind Every Successful Woman

Joe Cummings illustration of the Person in the News - Sarah Gilbert
© Joe Cummings
"My husband has taken on all the shopping and cooking responsibilities. I just go home and sit down and there's food there. I wouldn't have the energy to cook anything myself."
"We didn't get any information about Oxford at my school. It was a completely different world. At the time there was a separate applications system but only the daughters of the local MP and the surgeon got to know about it. The rest of us were completely oblivious."
"In the future there will be another 'Disease X' to respond to, and then another and so on."
"This is what I've been thinking about and planning for. It is really great to be implementing these things and have the funding, finally, to do it and move at the speed we know we can move at."
"We're all very familiar with IT security."
"It is very similar to viruses found in animals. That is where it came from. This happens repeatedly. This is where we get disease from. Zoonotic transmission is where emerging pathogens start and it happens a lot."
"There does need to be more done to stop the spread of misinformation. When you start to unpick the objections people have to vaccines, a lot of it doesn't make any sense."
"Too many people reject them out of hand. They say these vaccines are being developed too quickly and won't be safe but that doesn't follow. Just because it normally takes ten years to develop a vaccine that is mostly about funding and procedure. We know about the safety of all this technology. This is a different approach to vaccinations -- it doesn't have to be slow."
"What we haven't done much before is giving second dose of vaccine and seeing antibody responses get even stronger. We don't know what level we need to get to protect people against this virus. We can't say what antibody level is needed -- nobody knows."
"We're not competing with the other vaccines because we need more than one vaccine for the world."
Professor Sarah Gilbert, professor of vaccinology, Jenner Institute, Oxford University
Devoted to her work, Dr.Gilbert doesn't seek the limelight. "It's not my natural instinct to stick my head above the parapet. I don't want to be a celebrity. I just want to get the work done", she explains. The work she alludes to is critical to the world community assailed repeatedly by the onset and proliferation of ever deadlier zoonotics; viruses that have managed to make the leap from animals to transmit to humans. Often in their host animals the viruses are not deadly; long association has geared animals' immune systems to deal with the presence of the virus; introduced to human hosts, measured resistance is absent.

And the human immune response can be sufficiently dramatic to become out of control, an overwrought and over-responsive immune system causing massive immune responses with bodily organs going completely off kilter resulting from galloping inflammation that can ultimately destroy the body's organs, causing death. Dr.Gilbert's work is that of a developer of new vaccines to respond to the constantly emerging pathogens threatening to overwhelm the world community of mass humanity.

She has worked on Lassa fever, Nipah and Middle East Respiratory syndrome (MERS), developing for that coronavirus a vaccine that combined a gene from the virus along with a chimpanzee adenovirus where the vaccine operates as a "Trojan horse", tricking the human cells to produce a more moderate, effective immune response. This is the same formula she has used to develop Oxford's COVID-19 vaccine. A vaccine whose initial results were just published in The Lancet medical journal, confirming it to be safe and effective in producing an immune response to COVID.

Dr.Gilbert and her research team have succeeded in producing a vaccine whose process under normal circumstances can take years to develop, rather than the months -- since January to the present -- to achieve their initial success. Theirs is the first vaccine of the countless others being developed all over the world, to reach this stage of development, awaiting further trials and  ultimately approval and production, leading to dissemination and public inoculation.

The phase 1 trial used volunteers to test the efficacy and safety of the new vaccine. Among those volunteers were Dr.Gilbert's 21-year-old triplets, all three of whom happen to be biochemistry students. Typically, Dr.Gilbert doesn't see too much of her family these days. Rising around 4:00 a.m. daily she cycles the short distance to the laboratory, returning home around 8:00 p.m., exhausted. When she and her husband moved 26 years ago to Oxford, it was for her to be able to take a senior post-doctoral position at the Jenner Institute.

relates to Covid Vaccine Front-Runner Is Months Ahead of Her Competition
Dr.Gilbert in her lab, pre-Covid and pre-fame.
Photographer: John Lawrence/Shutterstock
Enabling that situation meant that her husband left his own career in science to work for Oxford University Press, in publishing. When their triplets were born, nursery fees absorbed her entire income. A mutual agreement meant her husband would sacrifice his own career to devote himself to the care of their children. She never dreamed, despite an attraction to science, that she might one day study at Oxford, much less take up her professional career there, where two of her children are themselves now studying.

The world's attention has turned in the past week to Oxford University and the work of Dr.Gilbert and her research associates. Efforts have been made to hack into their vaccine development program. Dr.Gilbert admits to being targeted with phishing emails and once herself inadvertently opened an attachment realizing immediately afterward a virus had infected her computer necessitating that it be "completely wiped" by university technicians to protect the contents from exploitation in a lapse of cyber security.

This week, a poll was released revealing that of 2,00 people queried across the U.K. 14 percent claimed they would refuse a vaccination for COVID-19. U.S. polls have found that refusal figure as high as fifty percent, with experts estimating any vaccine would have to be accepted by 70 percent of a population to ensure it is effective across a targeted population. Dr.Gilbert doesn't agree with compulsory vaccination, hoping that education will convince more people of the necessity to vaccinate to protect an entire population.

She is uncertain with respect to which most vulnerable group in a population should logically receive the vaccine first, once it becomes available. Much will hinge on what happens during the coming winter, she feels. When a second wave is "quite likely" on the horizon. "Pandemics come in waves. they don't just come once and disappear", she said.

relates to Covid Vaccine Front-Runner Is Months Ahead of Her Competition
A bioreactor at Oxford Biomedica, one of numerous companies contracted to make the Jenner Institute’s vaccine.
Source: Oxford Biomedica

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Thursday, February 13, 2020

COVID-19: CO for corona, VI for virus, D for disease, and 19 for the year it emerged....

"What has happened in China is that they have changed the definition of what the disease really is -- now they are taking people who have lesser symptoms."
"The deaths are quite worrisome, there is an increased number of deaths reported, but if you look overall at the total number of deaths and the total number of cases, the fatality ratio is about the same as it has been - but it is still high, as high as the death rate in influenza."
David Heymann, Professor of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
A Chinese worker wears a protective mask as she has her temperature checked on a nearly empty commercial area on February 12, 2020 in Beijing, China.
The WHO has said a vaccine will likely be found but it will take time   Getty Images
China is assuring the world community that it has the Novel Coronavirus -- now officially named COVID-19 -- well in hand. Wednesday, it reported the lowest number of new cases in two weeks following Beijing's senior medical adviser, epidemiologist Zhong Nanshan stating with apparent confidence that this month would see the peak of the epidemic before it subsides, and that by April the outbreak would be in its last gasps. On Wednesday the figures showed 2,015 new confirmed cases diagnosed, bringing China's total to 44,653 representing the lowest daily rise since January 30.

Well, oops, another day, another story. New figures have been released, that indicate new cases and deaths in the province of Hubei, the epicenter of the epidemic, have pushed the national death toll above 1,350 with almost 60,000 infections in total. Quite a leap for a day (Wednesday) that was, according to Chinese officials, the lowest victim-count day yet. But that would have been the count for the day before. The new count is quite displeasing to Beijing, which has taken steps to dismiss two top officials in Hubei province hours after the new figures were released.

The World Health Organization chief, Tedros Adanom Ghebreyesus, though courteously willing to take China at its word, advised that "extreme caution" should be taken when viewing the optimistic Wednesday figures. "This outbreak could still go in any direction", he advised at a Geneva briefing. And it took little time for that to happen. "It has spread to other places where it's the beginning of the outbreak", responded head of the Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network coordinated by the WHO. "In Singapore, we are at the beginning."

Coronavirus data chart

Of Singapore's 50 cases identified at that point, its largest bank, DBS was speedily evacuated at its head office, when one of the cases was found to be located there. Dozens of other countries -- at last count, 24 and growing -- have reported hundreds of cases; so far three people have died of the virus outside mainland China; in Hong Kong, Japan and the Philippines. And though China reported 1,113 deaths by the end of Tuesday, social media is abuzz over suspicions regarding reliability of the data.

On the cruise ship quarantined off Yokohama with around 3,700 people on board, there have been 175 people who have tested positive for the coronavirus. The MS Westerdam, another cruise ship which had been refused docking by Thailand, Japan, Taiwan, Guam and the Philippines was finally able to dock in Cambodia where its 1,455 passengers and 802 crew will be quarantined and medically tended to. The first Japanese medical officer to examine patients on board the Diamond Princes came down with the virus himself. The ship's total confirmed cases now stand at 174 and rising.

Relatives of passengers wave towards the Diamond Princess cruise ship, with around 3,600 people quarantined onboard due to fears of the new coronavirus. | AFP-JIJI

China bitterly accused the U.S. and other countries of victimizing China when they took steps to curb visitors from China. At a time when China itself has strictly quarantined about 60 million of its own citizens in quarantined cities in Hubei province, including the centre of the outbreak, the provincial capital of 11 million people, Wuhan. A commentary in the Xinhua news outlet spoke of "racist reporting" in some Western media, accusing them of ignoring "the unswerving efforts and huge sacrifice China and its people have made".

China, which has staked so much of its future on its 'one belt, one road' enterprise, with its huge investments in Asia, Africa and the Middle East to increase its already enormous trade potential, now finds itself in a quagmire of a stand-off in its aspirations. It sits frozen in time, unable to do anything while the entire country goes into lockdown, for however long is anyone's guess.

Factories are shuttered. Trains sit in their stations, in Wuhan the streets are still and empty of people, and state censors are working overtime to quell criticism and stop insde information and videos from reaching the outside world.

Image result for one road, one belt

Front-line accounts from overflowing hospitals with their scarcity of medical equipment and drugs, and where infected patients lie in crowded close proximity, and overworked health care professionals are at the point of breaking down as tens of thousands of people continue to become ill while ever more die from the virus do not reflect a country that has a viral epidemic well in hand.

The principal deputy director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Washington stated recently: "We absolutely assume that the reported cases are an underestimate".

Chinese citizen journalists risk their personal freedom to travel to the virus hotspot of Wuhan, to post what they see and  hear of the real situation as it unfolds, and then suddenly they are incommunicado, arrested, imprisoned, silenced.

"In the evening, the people of Wuhan turned off their lights when Li Wenliang passed away and, using flashlights or their cellphones, shot beams of light into the sky and blew whistles. In the deep dark night, Li Wenliang is this beam of light. After all this time, what can Wuhan people do to dispel the gloom, sadness and anger in their hearts? Perhaps it can only be done this way", wrote novelist Fang Fang, before falling silent.
  Li Wenliang  on Weibo, a Chinese social media platform.Kuang Biao

Li Wenliang was warned by Chinese authorities to stop spreading false rumours, when the young doctor communicated with his medical school colleagues to warn them of a strange, new virus that had appeared at a local hospital that looked suspiciously like a viral pneumonia, but was not, and could have been SARS, but was not.... He was among many medical professionals tending the ill who themselves became infected. And he died a week ago.




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