Politic?

This is a blog dedicated to a personal interpretation of political news of the day. I attempt to be as knowledgeable as possible before commenting and committing my thoughts to a day's communication.

Monday, January 31, 2022

Staid, Placid, Phlegmatic, Law-Abiding Canada

Protesters gather on Parliament Hill to demonstrate against vaccine mandates, on Saturday. (Alexander Behne/CBC)
"[It left me] sickened to see protesters dance on the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier and desecrate the National War Memorial."
"Generations of Canadians have fought and died for our rights, including free speech, but not this."
"Those involved should hang their heads in shame."
Chief of the Defence Staff General Wayne Eyre
 
"Whether by blocked access, failure to follow COVID-19 public health measures, ear-shattering noise at all hours, extreme pollution, public urination and defecation, or sexist, homophobic and racist actions and taunts, our members and our communities have been put at risk."
"The decisions that allowed this situation to emerge must now be reversed and should be subject to scrutiny in the days ahead."
The Civic Institute of Professional Personnel
"Right now, we're in a bit of an accordion effect where we're letting people out [leaving Ottawa to return to their homes across Canada] and trying not to let people in so we have as clear an inner zone [around the city centre and Parliament Hill] as possible."
"[The Ottawa Police Service launched] several criminal investigations [into the] desecration [of the National War Memorial and Terry Fox statue along with] threatening/illegal/intimidating behaviour [to police officers, city workers and others by protesters]."
Chief Peter Sloly, Ottawa Police Services

"We are not leaving until all of you and all of your kids are free."
"We're not leaving until you can open up your business. We're not leaving until you can hug your best friend."
"We're not leaving until you can go see your parents at a long-term care facility."
Tamara Lich, a Truck Convoy organizer
Gridlocked traffic extends east for at least 1.6 km on Sussex Drive from Wellington Street late on the afternoon of Sunday, January 30, 2022.
Gridlocked traffic extends east for at least 1.6 km on Sussex Drive from Wellington Street late on the afternoon of Sunday, January 30, 2022. Photo by Gerry NOTT / POSTMEDIA NEWS
 
When truckers began organizing a country-wide protest against the Liberal government's latest COVID mandate that all truckers must without exception be vaccinated before they would be allowed to drive across the Canada-U.S. border delivering food and other essential goods, it seemed like a reasonable enough enterprise. To let the federal government know how absurd a demand that was; enforcing a government diktat against the right of the individual to make personal decisions affecting their own bodies.

The Liberal government of Justin Trudeau was, in effect, echoing the Biden Administration's edict that all truckers must be vaccinated and have proof of full vaccination before they would be permitted to enter the United States. In point of fact, Canadian truckers have an extremely high inoculation rate, around 90 percent. American truckers, on the other hand, have a 50 percent vaccination rate. 
 
The mandate affecting Canadian truckers targeting that unvaccinated ten percent, effectively putting them out of employment, comes at a time of insufficient truck drivers to move critical products from one end of the country to the other, effectively taking trucks and drivers off the road already impacted by adverse weather conditions, rising prices and slow-moving production and distribution chains. In short, a nonsensical move by government.

And so a date was set for truckers to begin moving convoys across the country with the intention of a large contingent and their supporters driving to Ontario from British Columbia, Alberta, and all stops in between, across to Nova Scotia, New Brunswick and Quebec, converging on Ottawa for the purpose of conveyin their collective displeasure. A kind of wildcat action, since the Canadian Truckers Association disagreed with the move.

And then, as the movement picked up steam, radical elements within the leadership declared their intention to remove the Liberal government from administering the affairs of the country, and to have all coronavirus mandates, federal and provincial, revoked immediately. Concerns began to be expressed that the truckers' rally would attract outlier fringe elements, white supremacists, racists. In the meanwhile, a GoFundMe account was set up to help fund costs the truckers would ring up; gasoline, food, hostelry.
"Earlier today, our staff and volunteers experienced harassment from convoy protesters seeking meals from our soup kitchen."
"The individuals were given meals to defuse the conflict. Management was then informed of the issue and no further meals were given to protesters. Our soup kitchen is committed to providing meals to people experiencing and at risk of homelessness in Ottawa."
"This weekend's events have caused significant strain to our operations at an already difficult time."
"Since then [declaration of a State of Emergency on Housing and Homelessness in Ottawa], we have battled an unprecedented global pandemic. We have lost many community members due to the toxic overdose crisis. Our staff are beyond exhausted. We are so proud of how they have weathered the events of this weekend, as they weather all things, with courage and compassion."
"It was a very difficult day for them [staff]. The disruptions were many. They re working hard, they are tired and we are short-staffed. When people are taking away their ability to provide services to many of the most vulnerable people in the city, it is very discouraging. It was a really tough day all around [Saturday, the first day of the Truck Convoy's presence]."
Deidre Freiheit, manager, Shepherds of Good Hope charity, Ottawa
Members of the "Freedom Convoy" invaded the premises of the charity, demanding to be fed. They harassed staff and their homeless clients. On one occasion one of the homeless people at the shelter was physically attacked by protesters. Many who might have supported their cause even marginally now view them with utter distaste; they destroyed their own mission of alerting government to popular dissatisfaction of rigorous and sometimes seen as unnecessary pandemic strictures on freedom.
 
Streets and sidewalks Sunday continued to be choked in downtown Ottawa, but police say they are helping people who want to exit the city after Freedom Convoy events this weekend.
Streets and sidewalks Sunday continued to be choked in downtown Ottawa, but police say they are helping people who want to exit the city after Freedom Convoy events this weekend. Photo by ASHLEY FRASER, POSTMEDIA NEWS
 
Another organizer of the truckers' rally said the plan is to remain in Ottawa until all COVID-19 public health measures are eliminated and the Liberal Party is "resigned, gone and abolished. We're going to stay as long as it takes", said Patrick King. As for reports  that Ottawa Police are working to get people and vehicles out of downtown Ottawa, he responded: "We got contingency plans in place for that."

A rally, with popular support, which was able to raise $9-million from the public to financially support a cause many Canadians were in sympathy with, turned into wild street parties. Where the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier was trampled by people with the truckers' rally, and a woman danced on the tomb while others around her were drinking. The memorial statue of Terry Fox, a true Canadian hero, running across Canada on an artificial limb from bone cancer to raise funds and then dying when his cancer returned, was draped with an upside-down Canadian flag and a sign reading 'Mandate Freedom'.

Residents of nearby streets were kept awake at night by incessant horns, loud music, they were accosted by strangers shouting profanities and racial slurs. People were urinating and defecating in the public arena; obviously, the truck convoy 'organizers' hadn't dealt with such insignificant details as public toilets, accommodation, food availability. Protesters entering private businesses asking them to wear masks taunted the owners.

Countless downtown streets were cordoned off. Truckers' rigs were parked on streets blocking off access to travellers. Everywhere was chaos, with the Ottawa Police Service, the Ontario Provincial Police attempting to maintain a modicum of order and safety for residents and protesters alike. This was not an event to be proud of. Unless uncouth behaviour, mockery of law and order and gross civil disobedience is your cup of tea. Fascist armbands of Swastikas and Confederate flags do not inspire confidence.

Supporters of the "Freedom Convoy" rallied at Parliament Hill in Ottawa over the weekend
Supporters of the "Freedom Convoy" rallied outside Canada's Parliament in Ottawa over the weekend   Getty Images


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Sunday, January 30, 2022

Agreeing to Disagree : With Prejudice

President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky said the US and NATO are creating panic in his country over a potential Russian invasion   Future Publishing via Getty Images
"I'm the president of Ukraine, I'm based here and I think I know the details deeper than any other president."
"Do we have tanks on the streets? They go around saying 'War starts tomorrow'."
"It creates panic. Panic in the financial sector. It costs Ukraine a lot."
Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky
 
"Compared to the document we received from NATO, the U.S. response could almost be called a paragon of diplomatic politesse."
"If it depends on Russia, there will be no war. We don't want wars. But we also won't allow our interests to be rudely trampled, to be ignored."
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov
 
"[Russia has massed enough forces to launch a full-scale invasion -- of Ukraine -- with] little warning."
"[The Russian buildup is] larger in scale and scope than anything we've seen in recent memory."
U.S. General Mark Milley, chairman, U.S. joint chiefs of staff
President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia said in December that his demands must be addressed “right away, right now.”
Credit...Pool photo by Aleksey Nikolskyi

Ukraine's president feels as though he and his country are being pushed around. Not only by his country's former nemesis and its current incarnation, but also by the very countries that have stepped into the breach of threatening standoff, and in their eagerness to promote their version of what may be expected to occur, and when, creating an indelible internal aura of stress and panic. Whereas President Zelensky would prefer projecting an air of confidence over a situation that would have grave consequences for the sovereign right of his country, putting up a brave facade while appealing to the West to exert pressure on Moscow, he hears stark predictions of impending disaster.

Predictions that seem to him premature, that all diplomatic overtures have not been fully employed to de-escalate; rather than exacerbate tensions, those who claim to be committed to Ukraine's salvation as a securely independent member of the international community of nations are being unnecessarily provocative and heating up their exchanges in volumes of threats and repercussions. 

The White House, he publicly complained was "amplifying" the risk Ukraine is facing, an alarmist attitude too extreme to reflect the current situation which, he emphases, represents a "mistake in my opinion", a surprising rebuke to the rash statements of approaching doom expressed by the White House. The comments emerged following a telephone call with President Biden, a call that a Ukrainian official described as one that "did not go well".

"On the one hand, [Zelensky] wants assistance. But on the other, he has to assure his people he has the situation under control. That's a tricky balance", observed a White House official. The sense of swiftly impending collision between NATO, the United States, Ukraine and Russia has been heightened by a new revelation that the military buildup of Russian troops and equipment on the border with Ukraine has expanded to the inclusion of blood supplies required for anticipated casualties in the event of an imminent conflict.

In communications with France's President Macron, Mr. Putin spoke of the West having "ignored" security concerns expressed by Russia over its perception of NATO expansion into Russia's near-abroad, a geography that Vladimir Putin regards as Russia's diplomatic-political domain into which a Western presence has become a destabilizing feature and a threat to Russia's relationships with its near neighbours. According to a French official, Mr. Putin indicated "very clearly that he did not want confrontation".

And nor would Beijing -- Moscow's great good friend and collegial partner in defending joint interests against Western interference -- appreciate violent confrontation. At least not right now. It would be most inconvenient, most unsuitable in view of their warm relations, for Russia to embark on an incendiary war situation that would surely spread and absorb the world's attention at the very time that China is hosting the Winter Olympics.

A White House official notes that Russia'a protestations of having no intention of invading its neighbour is welcome, but it would be far more convincing for it to withdraw its troops from Ukraine's border. Mr. Putin has been accused by the U.S. ambassador in Moscow of "putting a gun on the table and saying 'I come in peace'." 

Russia has been given assurances from the U.S. that such a withdrawal would entitle it in exchange to have a delegation of Russian inspectors visit missile sites entrenched by the U.S. in Poland and Romania to reduce its fears that the missiles are aimed at Russia, and not as claimed, in the direction of Iran. In the relentless standoff, the U.S. now considers an action independent of NATO to itself and the U.K. in a "coalition of the willing" to include other allies, moving troops closer to Russia to deter Putin's plans.
A Ukrainian service member is seen next to a 2A65 Msta-B howitzer during artillery and anti-aircraft drills near the border with Russian-annexed Crimea in the Kherson region, Ukraine, in this handout picture released January 28, 2022.
A Ukrainian service member kneels next to a howitzer during artillery and anti-aircraft drills near the border with Russian-annexed Crimea in the Kherson region of Ukraine.
via REUTERS
 

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Saturday, January 29, 2022

The United Nations Really is a Lunatic Asylum

North Korea, heavily sanctioned for illicit nukes, to lead UN disarmament forum
Image: Rodong Sinmun  | Kim Jong Un at a missile test
"Nuclear pariah North Korea is set to chair a United Nations forum on nuclear disarmament for four weeks from late May, the U.N. has announced, leading one Geneva-based advocacy group to encourage a diplomatic boycott of the event."
"The U.N. Conference on Disarmament will include discussions on nuclear weapons, preventing nuclear war and transparency in armament to support 'effective international arrangements to assure non-nuclear-weapon States against the use or threat of use of nuclear weapons', according to the U.N. website."
NK News
 
"It’s only a coordination role and largely a symbolic post – but still, it’s bad optics nevertheless,"
"North Korea is the worst example of not abiding by the nonproliferation regime. And that country assuming the lead of the relevant meeting demonstrates how ineffectual global governance can be."
Shin Beom-chul, director, Center for Diplomacy and Security, Korea Research Institute for National Strategy
 
"While the U.N. will likely defend North Korea’s appointment as simply an automatic rotation, no system should tolerate such a fundamental conflict of interests."
"It’s common sense that a disarmament body should not be headed by the world’s arch-villain on illegal weapons and nuclear proliferation, notorious for exporting missiles and nuclear know-how to fellow rogue regimes around the globe."
"'All of the delegations who took the floor', reported the UN’s summary, welcomed the North Korean’s presidency, and said that 'they looked forward to his [North Korea’s So Se Pyong] stewardship' and to working with him 'to revitalize and strengthen the Conference'. Those listed as having taken the floor were Canada, the UK, India, China, Nigeria, Portugal, Iran, Myanmar, Algeria, and UN official Jarmo Sareva."
Hillel Neuer, Executive Director, UN Watch
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un visits a munitions factory producing what state media KCNA called a ‘major weapon system’.
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un visits a munitions factory producing what state media KCNA called a ‘major weapon system’. Photograph: KCNA/Reuters

 North Korea's dear leader Kim Jong UN visited a munitions factory that produces a "major weapon system", according to state media on Friday. At the same time, North Korea conducted tests of an upgraded long-range cruise missile, along with a warhead of a tactical guided missile. In obvious preparation for taking on the prestigious position heading a United Nations Conference on Disarmament. So that the North Korean representative can speak with confidence on nuclear proliferation and other such global distractions.

In an absolute frenzy of activity Tuesday saw the test of an updated long-range cruise missile system. Oh, and yet another test held in confirmation of the power of a conventional warhead for a surface-to-surface tactical guided missile on Thursday. All diligently and dutifully and with an appropriate air of pride, recorded on the state media organ. No doubt confirming dispatches were sent out from North Korea to its interested friends and colleagues in the Islamic Republic of Iran.
 
North Korea confirms latest tests of long-range cruise, tactical guided missiles
Anadolu Agency
 
The munitions factory was lauded by President Kim in its grand progress achievement in "producing major weapons" and holding a "very important position and duty" in modernizing the country's armed forces. The result of which cannot be denied and sufficiently praised, in realizing its national defence development strategy.

A day earlier South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff announced their having detected the apparent launch of two short-range ballistic missiles. A revelation that saw the United States condemn the North for carrying out what is undeniably the sixth round of missile tests in this first month of the new year of 2022. Setting the tone for what lies ahead for North Korea's strategic weapons exploits.

The Joint chiefs of Staff of South Korea reported as well on the diligent actions of its rogue neighbour in drawing attention and concern from all of its near neighbours with the exception of its proud guardian China as a fledgling and most effective bulwark against the incursion of sordid Western notions of stability, security and peace through diplomatic negotiations, when it fired off another two cruise missiles into the sea off its east coast on Tuesday.

This composite photo, released by North Korea's official Korean Central News Agency, shows a long-range cruise missile being test-fired on Jan. 25, 2022. (For Use Only in the Republic of Korea. No Redistribution) (Yonhap)
Composite photo, released by North Korea's official Korean Central News Agency, shows a long-range cruise missile being test-fired on Jan. 25, 2022

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Friday, January 28, 2022

Russia: "Main Issue", "Secondary Issues"

"As far as this document goes, there is a reaction that allows us to hope for a start of a serious discussion but on secondary issues."
" There is no positive reaction to the main issue."
Russian Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov

"There is a scope for dialogue."
"[President Putin would analyze the response in full before any further move]. It would be foolish to expect an answer as early as next week."
Dmitry Peskov, spokesman, for Vladimir Putin

"It's always very sensitive when it's about children. It creates a lot of tension and stress for the parents, for the whole society."
"It ties up law enforcement services It's easier to make a mistake when the constant tension makes everyone tired."
"It is [meant to] destabilize and demoralize the population."
Alina Prolova, deputy head, Ukraine Center of Defense Strategies think tank, former deputy defence minister of Ukraine

A morning at a school in Kiev.  Oleksander Shcherbyn, Ukrainian police demining unit

 
At strategic loggerheads, both sides -- in the debate over whether or not the long build-up of Russian troops and military equipment on the border with  Ukraine is meant to intimidate in the short term, and prepare for an invasion in the longer term -- digging in their heels. While Moscow claims it is prepared for "serious conversations" to defuse the Ukraine crisis, the U.S. and NATO have proposed areas of co-operation on a wider scale.

To an objective observer, defusing Moscow's concern over American and NATO missile silos defensive sites in Europe which Russia views as having hostile intent toward it,  and has led Moscow to denounce U.S. and NATO intentions as militarily malicious, would rank high. Certainly more so than Vladimir Putin's ultimatum to NATO that it must withdraw its members' forces from eastern Europe, and it must never allow Ukraine entry to the military alliance.

But the disposition of Ukraine as a fully sovereign nation entitled by international law to decide its own fate and alliances looms with greater importance to Mr. Putin who views Ukraine as a geographic, cultural, social and political part of Greater Russia. Washington has proposed vital cooperation in areas that should be of great concern to both political adversaries; reviving arms control treaties, limiting military exercises; granting Moscow access to NATO sites in Europe for observational purposes.
 
The DFRLab uses social media monitoring and geolocation techniques to identify the presence of Russian forces deployed along Russia’s border with Ukraine. Those forces are now present in Belarus as well. (Source: Michael Sheldon/DFRLab/OpenStreetMap)
 
This is what Moscow refers to as "secondary issues". Its determination to possess command of Ukraine transcends the issues that are intended to make the world a safer place. So misdirected its priorities as to bemuse any rational mind. Instead, cyber attacks, threatening rhetoric, scheduling war games with nations bordering Ukraine that are firmly in Russia's political orbit continue to fray the sense of national security that sustains Ukraine.

And in Kyiv a Ukrainian bomb disposal expert is teaching students at a school in the capital all about explosives and what to be aware of. The training was organized by law enforcement following a series of hoax bomb alerts that forced the evacuation of schools in the city along with others, including the cities of Kharkiv, Lviv and Zaporizhzhia. These are threats targeting schoolchildren with fear-mongering that point directly to Russia in its hybrid war.

"The purpose of Russian special services is obvious -- to put additional pressure on Ukraine, sow anxiety and panic among the public", explained Ukraine's Security Service which had recorded over 300 bomb threats so far this year alone in comparison to 1,100 that took place during the entire 2021 year. Russian officials, on the other hand, blame Ukraine for similar bomb hoaxes, forcing Russian schools, shopping centres and kindergartens to evacuate tens of thousands.

It is difficult to credit mature societies, responsible governments resorting to such tactics meant to intimidate, strike fear, and demoralize another society. Striking at the very heart of any civilized society by targeting the most vulnerable in the population; its children. Ukraine's Center of Defense Strategies think-tank concentrates on what it speaks of as the main threat it faces; "a hybrid invasion" comprised of more cyber attacks, disinformation, and bomb threats aimed at schools, subway systems, administrative offices and other civil and official infrastructures.

Leaving Kyiv to hold emergency bomb drills for children. Where bomb experts explain that a small, unassuming-looking device is capable of holding a kilogram of explosives with enough power to kill anyone standing within five metres, wounding others up to 15 metres' distance. Classes shown video clips of explosions along with explosive devices meant to appear as though they're a box of chocolates or a mobile phone case.

Hundreds of Ukrainian schools have had to be evacuated since the start of the year amid a spate of fake bomb threats that Kyiv blames on Russia.

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Thursday, January 27, 2022

Defending Ukraine's Territorial Integrity

"Putting things in writing is a good way to make sure we're as precise as possible, and the Russians understand our positions."
"Right now, the document is with them, and the ball is in their court."
"We made clear [in the diplomatic dispatch] that there are core principles that we are committed to uphold and defend, including Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity and the right of states to choose their own security arrangements and alliances. There is no change. There will be no change."
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, left, and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov move to their seats before their meeting, Jan. 21, 2022, in Geneva.
 
It hardly seems possible that Russian President Vladimir Putin really thought he could demand that the United States and NATO accede to his no-compromise demand that would effectively give him control over how NATO must henceforth interpret its own rules and regulations. Mr. Putin is a realist, but has stated his ultimatum like a fabulist. It would be NATO's decision, not Russia's demands that would decide when and whether Ukraine would be welcomed into the alliance's fold.

"We call on Russia once again to immediately de-escalate the situation. NATO firmly believes that tensions and disagreements must be resolved through dialogue and diplomacy", responded Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg from Brussels, in the wake of NATO having sent its own written response addressing Russia's security demands. 

A resolve that was entirely predictable, and one which, acted on, has seen Russia and more specifically its president, Vladimir Putin, placed between a rock and a hard place, entirely of his own making. Still, the offer has been extended from NATO to Moscow in the recommendation to re-establish respective offices in Brussels and Moscow with the intention of resorting back to military channels of communication (and presumably compromise) in the pursuit of transparency and risk reduction.

Russia, of course, has its own perceptions of accommodation, meant to be extracted from NATO, not to be placed firmly in the place of the adversary required to relent on its threats to prevent an escalation of an already-tense situation in Europe. For what affects eastern Europe also has its effect on all of Europe, if for no other good reason than energy dependency in the west on the natural resources of the east.

"If the West continues its aggressive course, Moscow will take the necessary retaliatory measures", responded Russia's foreign minister, Sergey Lavrov. It was the U.S. ambassador to Moscow who handed the American written response to Alexander Grushko, the deputy foreign minister, leading Mr. Blinken to say "I have no doubt that Mr. Lavrov will share the letter with President Putin, and perhaps everybody else." No sooner done than said, to twist an old phrase.
 
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz inherited a sticky situation that his predecessor handled with a measure of tolerance for her Russian counterpart. To him now is left the details leading to an answer to the question whether Germans will freeze in their homes this winter, or be forced to cut back factory production should pressure from NATO and the U.S. prevail to the point of stopping the Nord Stream gas pipeline from Russia, bypassing Ukraine, into Germany. 

While the United Kingdom has gone out of its way to assure Ukraine and give it material support, demanding its European allies "do more" to deter an anticipated Russian invasion, the German chancellor speaks of following a long-standing policy of refusing to supply arms to conflict zones. It would instead, send 5,000 helmets to Ukraine, in a reflection of Canada's offer to send more night-vision goggles and flak jackets when Ukraine is pleading for arms.
 

A Russian army service member fires a howitzer during drills at the Kuzminsky range in the southern Rostov region, Russia, on Jan. 26.  SERGEY PIVOVAROV/Reuters

"Germany sells arms to Egypt, which is involved in conflicts with Yemen and Libya, but does not want to supply arms to Ukraine. That's hypocrisy", pointed out Lieut.-General Ben Hodges, formerly a U.S. army commander in Europe. "In sending 5,000 helmets to Ukraine, the government only worsens its own and Germany's position", stated the leader of the German opposition Christian Democrats. "It's embarrassing that the government believes the scope of this crisis could be expressed in helmets."
"We'll be legislating to toughen up our sanctions regime and make sure we are fully able to hit those individuals and companies and banks in Russia in the event of an incursion."
"What's important is that all of our allies do the same, because it's by collective action by showing Vladimir Putin [that] we are united."
"We would like to see our allies do more to help supply defensive support to Ukraine, and also put those sanctions in place."
Elizabeth Truss, U.K. Foreign Secretary
Activists hold a poster to thank the British government for support during a rally at the British embassy in Kyiv, Ukraine, Friday, Jan. 21, 2022. The UK sent 30 elite troops and 2,000 anti-tank weapons to Ukraine amid fears of Russian invasion.
Activists hold a poster to thank the British government for support during a rally at the British embassy in Kyiv, Ukraine, Friday, Jan. 21, 2022. The UK sent 30 elite troops and 2,000 anti-tank weapons to Ukraine amid fears of Russian invasion.

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Wednesday, January 26, 2022

Canada's Earned Place on the Global Corruption Index

"The problem of money-laundering in Canada and other corruption scandals have been headline news in recent years, ragging down the perception of Canada as a clean country. this year's disappointing results show the need to take concrete action to restore Canada's reputation."
"There's no there-there issue that made us drop, this is more about the ripple effect of what's happened over the last couple of years and not seeing a counterbalance in enforcement, new rules or the results of those new rules."
"Canada-wide, we need to see action on anti-money laundering. It's a national issue. And we need to see the federal government taking foreign bribery seriously too." 
James Cohen, executive director, Transparency International (TI) Canada
Canada PM Justin Trudeau
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said he "made a mistake" by joining in talks for giving a government contract to a charity that paid his family. Reuters

Canada scored 74, putting it in 13th place on the Corruption Perception Index (CPI) in 2021. A drop of two points in comparison to the year before, placing Canada in a tie with Iceland, Ireland, Estonia and Austria. Other countries above Canada on the listing include Denmark, Germany, Singapore and Hong Kong. France scores at 71 and the United States 67; Canada's 74 score emphasizes a downward trend -- having dropped 10 points since 2012.

Transparency International points out that Canada's ranking represents the most significant drop in score of all 180 countries in the past five years. "I think Canadians are frustrated, and rightfully so. What the public needs to do is keep up the pressure to make sure that changes come through. We can't just rest on our image of Canada the good any more, we need to see action."

Remember the SNC-Lavalin scandal? Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and then attorney-general Jody Wilson-Raybould (at right) clashed over appropriate government action.
Remember the SNC-Lavalin scandal? Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and then attorney-general Jody Wilson-Raybould (at right) clashed over appropriate government action
 
No one single incident or scandal stands out to have caused Canada's latest ranking fall. Mr. Cohen's theory is that the country is embroiled in the shock waves caused by fairly recent events that drew worldwide attention and those relate to the Prime Minister of Canada, Justin Trudeau, playing fast-and-loose with scruples and ethics to suit his own personal and political agenda.

Unlike any prime minister before him, Trudeau since becoming head of government in 2015, has three times been the subject of separate Ethics Commissioner investigations, two finding that he had broken ethics laws. There was the controversial Christmas vacation the Trudeau family enjoyed on billionaire philanthropist and leader of the Ismaili movement, Aga Khan's private island, in 2017.

The Prime Minister again broke ethics laws in 2019 when the Ethics Commissioner found he had improperly applied pressure on then-justice minister Jody Wilson-Raybould to broker a remediation agreement with Quebec engineering giant SNC-Lavalin. "We see in reports that the CPI is compiled from, that this is obviously still on the mind of international observers", remarked Mr. Cohen.

The WE Charity scandal rocked the Liberal government in 2020 and eventually led to Finance Minister Bill Morneau's resignation and a subsequent Ethics Commissioner ruling of his having breached the law. "It's not just the scandals, but it's also the lack of things that have been done. We've seen remediation agreements come into effect, but we have yet to see a remediation agreement sealed, or finished", observed Mr. Cohen.
"Trudeau managed to dodge Conflict of Interest Act findings against him in the WE Charity scandal, despite appearances; Trudeau was a regular at the Keilburgers’ mass pep rallies, and Trudeau’s wife, brother and mother were paid hundreds of thousands of WE Charity dollars in celebrity-endorsement fees."
"But then-finance minister Bill Morneau was not so lucky. Morneau was found to have contravened conflict-of-interest laws by accepting free trips for himself and his wife and daughter to exotic WE Charity locales in Kenya and Ecuador."
Terry Glavin, The Ottawa Citizen
Money laundering is a recurring issue in Canada, a situation which has garnered headlines across the country, in particular in British Columbia. Anywhere between $46 billion and $130 billion is estimated laundered through Canada annually, known as "snow-washing".  There is hope on the horizon with recent initiatives taken by the federal and provincial governments toward increased transparency and to fight corruption. Unfortunately results have not yet been recognized.

A significant initiative, if it is seen through to fruition, undertaken by the federal government and a few provinces is a pledge to install a new beneficial ownership registry, to reveal the identity of owners of shell corporations, often used in money laundering schemes within Canada. "For Canada to go back up, we need to start seeing the results of the good intentions", stated Mr. Cohen.

Canada Corruption Rank

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Tuesday, January 25, 2022

No Sooner Warned Than Struck : Russian Cyber Attacks

"Canada's Cyber Centre ... is aware of foreign cyber threat activities, including by Russian-backed actors, to target Canadian critical infrastructure network operators, their operational and information technology."
"[Attacks could arrive in a range of forms from a] widespread ransomware attack [to a] single, carefully focused [attempt to significantly impact core infrastructure]."
Cyber Centre Agency, Communications Security Establishment
 
"The depth of the information provided by the U.S. and the urgency used underlines the seriousness of this situation. These government bulletins do not come without sufficient research and justification."
"While we can speculate what exactly drove this alert, the more important message is that the entire world should be watching the heightened tensions surrounding Russia's intentions toward Ukraine and, especially, the recent publicly acknowledged cyberattacks."
"A cuberattack on any of Canada's critical support systems could cause crippling disruption to the population and the economy. For this reason, protecting critical infrastructure and the operational technology behind it is increasingly regarded as a mater of national security."
"Canada and our allies have experienced a general increase in cyberthreat activity throughout the last year, including ransomware attacks, supply chain attacks, and the exploitation of discovered vulnerabilities in commonly used software."
"Russian-linked groups have been among the drivers of this activity."
"Should Russia-backed cyber threat activity launch against Canada, we can expect to see anything from a widespread ransomware attack to a single, carefully focused but impactful attack on our infrastructure."
"It may take some time to work out what is going on (or what happened) as Russia has a long history of distracting opponents from its real intentions."
David Masson, director, Darktrace cyber-A1 defence company 

"Russian state-sponsored advanced persistent threat actors have used sophisticated cyber capabilities to target a variety of U.S. and International critical infrastructure organizations, including those in the Defense Industrial Base as well as the Healthcare and Public Health, Energy, Telecommunications, and Government Facilities Sectors."
U.S. Bulletin
Intelligence experts in recent years have been warning about the growing frequency of cyber attacks by foreign states.
Intelligence experts in recent years have been warning about the growing frequency of cyber attacks by foreign states. Photo by Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press/File

Russia uses all manner of cold-war, 21st Century battlefields delivering messages to those countries that provoke Moscow's ire of their displeasure, through their ability to negotiate around cyberspace and threaten the infrastructure and social order of countries opposed to Russia's moves on the international scene. In 2007 Estonia, a former Soviet Union satellite, assaulted Moscow's sensibilities by removing a memorial to the Soviet Red Army to a loss prominent position, and paid for its audacity through a devastating series of major cyberattacks that shut down banks, media outlets and government offices.
 
Police face demonstrators 27 April 2007 in Tallin, during a protest against plans to move the Bronze Soldier statue, a Soviet World War II memorial
Russian speakers rose up on the streets in protest at the statue's move - and cyber attackers followed behind   Getty Images

 In more recent years, after the 2014 start of an ethnic-Russian Ukrainian separatist group in the Donbas and Russia's military incursion, arming and fighting alongside the separatists against Ukraine, culminating in Russia's claiming of the Crimea Peninsula as Russian territory, the standoff between Ukraine and the separatists in Donetsk and Luhansk in eastern Ukraine while leading to active hostilities and violence also saw Ukraine suffering cyberattacks threatening its electrical system power grid in 2015. 
 
And in mid-January Kyiv experienced cyberattacks on government offices, with an eerily sinister message: : "Be afraid and expect the worst." This, in the buildup to a feared Russian invasion of Ukraine, reclaiming what Vladimir Putin insists is a historical connection between the two countries as one. And the 'one' who controls Ukraine would be Russia. Embodying Mr. Putin's other cherished aspiration, to appeal to the better sense of its neighbours to return to the good old days of the USSR, within Russia's loving embrace.

Threatening message which appeared on Ukrainian government websites
A threatening message appeared on Ukrainian government websites on 14 January, 2022

Detailed warnings arrived in Canada from the United States and United Kingdom cybersecurity sections of the imminence of Russian actors imposing hostile, threatening and damaging cyberattacks within Canada. Both the U.S. and the U.K. warned that their own cybersecurity communities are in a "heightened state of awareness, proactively searching out risks to their networks in response to threats from Russia", looming increasingly in the very near future.

Two years earlier Canada's CSE warned that state-sponsored threat actors like Russia were "very likely" trying to develop tools to allow them to disrupt critical infrastructure "such as the supply of electricity", concluding that the attackers were not likely to want to disrupt critical infrastructure in Canada to cause "major damage or loss of life". But for the major caveat "in the absence of international hostilities". Well, those international hostilities have eventuated with Russia's massing of a 100,000 troops on the Ukraine border and deliberate additional provocations enlisting Belarus and Kazakhstan bordering Ukraine, in its assault plans.

Belarusian peacekeepers leave a Russian military plane at an airfield in Kazakhstan, Saturday, Jan. 8, 2022. As Kazakhstan struggles to cope with a violent uprising this week, it has turned for help to a Russian-led security bloc, the Collective Security Treaty Organization.The Associated Press

"Critical services for Canadians through Global Affairs Canada (Department of Foreign Affairs) are currently functioning. Some access to internet and internet-based services are not currently available as part of the mitigation measures and work is underway to restore them."
"At this time, there is no indication that any other government departments have been impacted by this incident."
"The Government of Canada deals with ongoing and persistent cyber risks and threats every day. Cyber threats can result from system or application vulnerabilities, or from deliberate, persistent, targeted attacks by outside actors to gain access to information."
Treasury Board of Canada Secretariat
(RedPixel/stock.adobe.com)
So there it is. No sooner said than done. Cyberattacks against Canadian government departments are not new, they have been occurring with some regularity of recent times. And the suspects are usually China or Russia. This latest attack that occurred on the very day that Canada's cyberdefence agency warned of Russian-backed threats, was a significant attack, a cyber incident  causing disruption to a group of departmental systems. The Canadian Centre for Cyber Security, which had warned of such an attack's likelihood is now investigating what it had predicted.

Civilian participants in a Kyiv Territorial Defence unit train in a forest on January 22, 2022, in Kyiv, Ukraine. (Sean Gallup/Getty Images)

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Monday, January 24, 2022

Islamic State Carnage in Al-Hasakah, Syria

The Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces patrolling Hasaka, Syria, on Monday.
   Credit...Baderkhan Ahmad/Associated Press
"Responsibility for anything that happens to these children also lies at the door of foreign governments who have thought that they can simply abandon their child nationals in Syria."
"Risk of death or injury is directly linked to these governments’ refusal to take them home."
Sonia Khus, Syria director for Save the Children
 
"We help them to construct their prisons, to train their staff, to run as good a prison system as they can, but they are not getting what they need."
"Prisoners are lying on top of each other."
Anne Speckhard, director, International Center for the Study of Violent Extremism
 
"[The siege highlighted the need for international financial support to improve security at the prison]."
"It also underscores the urgent need for countries of origin to repatriate, rehabilitate, reintegrate and prosecute, where appropriate, their nationals detained in northeast Syria."
U.S. State Department
Fighters of the Syrian Democratic Forces in Hasaka on Monday.
Credit...Ahmed Mardnli/EPA, via Shutterstock
"On whatever support the Coalition has been given to the SDF as they have dealt with this and continue to deal with this prison break, I can tell you that we have provided some air strikes to support them as they deal with this particular prison break," 
Pentagon Spokesman John Kirby
The Kurdish fighting force known as the Syrian Democratic Forces converted an old technical school comprising three buildings into a prison to hold Islamic State foreign fighters. An estimated 40,000 foreign jihadists from Europe, North America, Australia and the Middle East travelled to Syria to join the Islamic State when it was expanding its 'caliphate' in at least a third of the territory of both Syria and Iraq. Prisoners totalled an estimated 12,000 suspected terrorists representing 50 nationalities.
 
Syria and Iraq have taken their own nationals to stand trial and be dealt with, but very few countries outside the Middle East have seen fit to repatriate their nationals to have them stand trial for war crimes. Some countries have accepted orphan children that lived in Raqqa, the ISIL 'capital' of its 'caliphate', to attempt to restore them to normalcy, but the majority feel that hard evidence to be used at trials is too difficult to obtain to allow them to conduct lawful trials and enact lawful criminal punishment.
 
The Kurdish Peshmerga were at the front lines, backed by the United States, fighting Islamic State most effectively. The Syrian and Iraqi militaries were intimidated and fearful of the grim reputation for gross brutality of medieval-style assaults that exemplified Islamic State terrorists. State military forces had a tendency to melt away, leaving their military equipment, much of it supplied by the United States, to be captured by Islamic State as it terrified communities and took possession of larger swaths of land.
 
The Kurdish forces have for years pleaded with countries abroad to take back their nationals. Not only had the Kurds been in the front lines fighting Islamic State, but they were also left to pick up the pieces once the jihadists had been vanquished, their territorial 'caliphate' recovered, their remaining militias dispersed and in hiding. Over the subsequent years they have slowly been recovering, absorbing new recruits attracted to their message of jihadist supremacy, and enacting brief guerrilla skirmishes now and again.

Some of the 300 ISIS fighters who surrendered on Monday in a photo provided by the Syrian Democratic Forces. 
Credit...Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces, via Associated Press
 The Islamic State attack on the prison holding former fighters, many among them high-echelon commanders, is the most ambitious yet of its attack enterprises, with the intention of releasing all the prisoners held at the Ghwayran jail in the city of Al-Hasakah, Thursday. It was a well-orchestrated surprise event, and leading the way was a suicide-bombing truck crashing the prison gates. Once inside the prison Islamic State members set about executing Kurdish guards, and gun battles between the SDF defenders and the ISIS guerrillas ensued.

Boys as young as 12, including Syrians, Iraqis and some 150 non-Arab foreigners are housed in one section of the prison campus. Once teens are considered too old to remain in the detention camps meant to hold families of Islamic State suspects, they are routinely transferred to the prison. Most children were exposed by their parents to the ISIL-jihadi ideology, had seen and identified with atrocities and had themselves taken part.
 
Non-jihadi sensitivities look on at the presence of children in prisons holding terrorists aghast at the situation. For the Islamic State group the imprisoned children represented a strategic convenience to assert that they were their hostages, and would become casualties should the situation call for such a move. Once the jihadist launched their assault on the prison with the intention of releasing thousands of its former fighters they felt they had the upper hand.
 
The fierce response of the Kurdish forces dictated otherwise, and the aerial bombing of the U.S. in aiding the SDF reflected a situation that would be temporary, if costly in human life. Where over 200 people were killed during the clashes. What the Islamic State terrorists did emphasize in this assault was that the loss of their caliphate three years earlier hadn't demoralized and defeated the ideology; it carries on, and its vicious intentions are still as terrifying as they were before their defeat.
 
An American attack helicopter flies over Hasaka on Monday. The United States has been conducting airstrikes there for four days.
  Credit...Baderkhan Ahmad/Associated Press
There was a reported 200 'insurgents' and suicide bombers intent on freeing imprisoned jihadists. On Sunday the jihadis attempted to break up a security cordon of SDF fighters north of the prison with the intention of supporting inmates of the prison who were rioting, taking control of portions of the facility. The jihadi commanders within the prison, there would be little doubt, were taking full advantage of the riotous battles taking place outside the complex.

In the first four days of the fighting, 175 ISIL members died, according to Siamand Ali, a spokesman for the SDF, while 27 members of the SDF were killed in the firing scrimmages. During the fighting, fearful villagers evacuated the area. Fleeing ISIL terrorists were invading homes to serve as hiding places, threatening and killing the inhabitants. Kurdish security forces were also busy aiding the civilians in their flight to safety.

Hundreds of the jihadists have been recaptured while dozens remain at loose, according to the London-based Syrian Observatory of Human Rights. Elsewhere in pretrial detention facilities ten thousand terror group members are being held by the Kurdish militia. As for the Hasaka jail, Kurdish authorities have long warned of insufficient resources to secure that number of prisoners in what amounted to makeshift facilities, while awaiting repatriation. 

This photo provided by the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces shows some Islamic State group fighters who were arrested.
This photo provided by the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces shows some Islamic State group fighters who were arrested.

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Sunday, January 23, 2022

Punishing Dissenters ... There is No Escape From the CPC

"To escape further persecution, he [Dong Guangping], managed to make it to Thailand in 2015, where he was granted official refugee status by the UNHCR."
"As he awaited resettlement to Canada in a Bangkok immigration detention centre, Chinese police walked in, handcuffed him in front of Thai officers and led him out."
"Dong later resurfaced in detention in China ... where he was sentenced to three years in prison."
"Foreign governments must ensure all diplomatic discussions on these issues take place in an open, transparent and public space and, where possible, expose activities carried out on its soil by overseas agencies that violate its judicial sovereignty."
"Without transparency, violators are encouraged to continue and expand their activities. Silence will increase the transgressions, not reduce them."
Safeguard Defenders human rights, Madrid
 
"The main purpose of Xi isn’t just to get these people back to China — it’s to prevent Chinese high-level government officers from escaping from China."
"He wants to show even if you escape to the U.S., I can still get you back to China."
Gao Guangjun, New York-based attorney
Police stand outside a detention center in Dabancheng in western China's Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region. A human rights group estimates that the number of forced repatriations by China has increased rapidly during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Police stand outside a detention centre housing Uyghurs in Xinjiang Province  AP
 
According to a report from Safeguard Defenders. an estimated 1,421 forced repatriations took place in 2020 and another 1,114 in 2021. The human rights group estimated an increase in forced repatriations despite widespread travel restrictions where China sought out and forcibly returned "fugitives" it represents as criminals, back to China, where they are prosecuted and sent to prison.
 
These are called out as state-sanctioned kidnapping, labelling Chinese who disagree with the ruling Chinese Communist Party as a dictatorship holding the entire population hostage to its Marxist ideology and thus becoming enemies of the state who can be accused of undermining the authority of the government and face prison sentences.

According to Chinese government sources responding to criticism, these people are taken back to China to face trial for economic crimes or for crimes related to their official duties. The targets, however, stand out as "lawyers, dissidents, bloggers, journalists, Tibetans, Uyghurs and Hong-Kongers". Methods used in their capture range from refusal to renew passports,  to covert operations viewed as "state-sanctioned kidnappings", according to the Safeguard Defenders report.

The report mentions the issuing of Interpol red notices, the intimidation of family members in China by state actors, and state agents taking to threatening their targets in person. Among some of the targets have been those tricked into travelling to a third country from which they could be extradited.

The case was cited of a Chinese human rights defender, Dong Guangping, who had previously served three years in prison in China on charges of inciting subversion of state power in the early 2000s. In 2014 he was again sentenced to another detention of eight months, before he escaped, only to be  hounded down and brought back to China.

According to data cited in the report, Uyghurs are being targeted increasingly in a similar vein. Over 300 cases have been tracked by the Uyghur Human Rights Project, which warns the real number is likely to be much higher in actual fact. For its part, China has always denied kidnappings or that the state violates foreign and international laws.
 
Yet since 2015, Beijing's Operation Sky Net has made targets of thousands of 'criminals' sought by China to be brought from abroad where they are illegally captured to be taken back to China. The program appears to have been expanded to include Uyghurs seeking refuge abroad, escaping their persecution in Xinjiang and their mass detention for forced labour.

Chinese President Xi Jinping is seen on a giant screen as he delivers a speech at the event marking the 100th founding anniversary of the Communist Party of China, on Tiananmen Square in Beijing, China, July 1, 2021.

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