Politic?

This is a blog dedicated to a personal interpretation of political news of the day. I attempt to be as knowledgeable as possible before commenting and committing my thoughts to a day's communication.

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

Canadian Arctic Preparedness for China, Russia Challenges

"We wouldn't need the allies to come to our aid. We could deal with it ourselves. We have the capacity to deploy our ships up there right now to stop them."
"They're not intended to be front-line combatants [Canada's Arctic and offshore patrol ships]. They have everything they need for the missions that we anticipate that [they'll] do. Were we to get into a wartime environment where we felt ... they could come directly under threat, then there's the capacity to install other weapons in sort of an ad hoc manner -- very similar to how you would defend an army forward operating base."
"It would be really nice to believe that Russia would comply with international order, but their illegal and unprovoked invasion of Ukraine tells us that they have no interest in complying with international law and I can't trust anything Russia does until they withdraw from Ukraine and restore the full territorial integrity of Ukraine."
"Until that changes, we're not going to trust Russia with anything and we're going to regard them with great suspicion and make sure we monitor everything they do."
"On both coasts, we're experimenting to make sure that these ships would have legitimate wartime roles if they needed to."
Canadian Vice-Admiral Angus Topshee
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Vice-Admiral Angus Topshee, commander of the Canadian Navy, says the Canada could defend against Arctic trespassing with new ships, submarines and underwater surveillance technology. Photo by Justin Tang /Canadian Press

Canada's new Arctic and offshore patrol ships carry a 25-mm cannon. Admiral Topshee is nothing but optimistic, assuring that "they're not intended to be front-line combatants" and they could be jury-rigged with greater firepower should the need arise. The Canadian military is entirely under-equipped in all its service sectors, using outdated equipment badly in need of replacement. The government of Canada is wedded,  unfortunately in this era of international destabilization, to its vision of climate change imperilling the world, giving short shrift to concerns of countries of the West, developed nations that recognize the need that to keep the peace they must prepare to defend it.

At the Halifax International Security Forum last week focusing on Arctic sovereignty, along with the pressing topic of Russia's war in Ukraine, Admiral Topshee pointed out that neither Russia nor China has -- yet -- passed through the Northwest Passage prior to obtaining Canada's approval. Canada's sovereignty encompasses the Northwest Passage, the great white frozen north which is becoming increasingly less frozen and more approachable, with shipping times' potential greatly reduced once the threat of pack sea ice is reduced, as Climate Change is gradually proving to be capable of.

The admiral feels that the expense of adding more built-in defensive weapons to the Arctic and offshore patrol ships represents an unneeded expense at the present time; clearly he feels no great rush is required to match the Russian and Chinese shipbuilding modernity bristling with military potential, as opposed to Canada's traditional lackadaisical approach to defending its vast geographic holdings against territorially rapacious countries covetously eyeing geographic areas on land and at sea that are inadequately defended.
 
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The Canadian flag flies proudly from the back of a snowmobile of a Canadian Ranger from the 1st Canadian Ranger Patrol Group (1 CRPG) near Eureka, Ellesmere Island, Nunavut. Photo: Kevin Paul
 
While it's all very Canadian to have Canada's northern First People monitor and keep abreast of questionable activities in the far north, they are, though determined to protect Canadian and Indigenous interests, ill-equipped to confront fully militarized challengers to Canadian sovereignty. A long overdue initiative to fully equip and man the Canadian geography in preparation for a potential challenge calls for serious investment and Canada's Liberal government continues to shirk that demand, despite NATO's minimum requirement of 2% of GDP per member-nation invested in military updates.

The Arctic and offshore patrol ships are focused on anti-submarine warfare on Canada's West Coast with the navy experimenting with towed arrays capable of detecting submarines from thousands of kilometres' distance. "That way you've got a ship that's not got the weapons to defend itself, but it's looking for a submarine that's so far away the submarine doesn't even know it's being hunted", explained Admiral Topshee. The ship then goes on to deliver information to the Royal Canadian Air Force to attack the submarine.

Admiral Topshee anticipates seeing the first of a new Canadian submarine fleet in operation early in the next decade, of the 12 modern, non-nuclear submarines Canada plans to obtain in replacement of four diesel-electric subs bought second-hand from Britain, all of which have proven to be barely usable. When the new fleet is available, they will be dispatched to "Leaving Esquimault Harbour, sailing up through the Aleutians, the Bering Strait, into the Beaufort Sea, patrolling for 21 days and then returning home and doing the entire thing submerged and undetected".

Admiral Topshee discussed the impracticability of Canada acquiring nuclear-powered submarines given that they would require six times the number of seamen as compared to non-nuclear subs, particularly given that the Canadian Navy is already 20% short of the numbers of active seamen it requires for basic duty, reflecting a similar shortage in military personnel in other National Defense departments. 

"Everything we see the Ukrainians doing in the Back Sea -- we are taking a look at that and saying what of that is relevant to us? How do we make it work? and then, more importantly, at the same time, how do we counter it? So, if we can figure out a way to defeat a ship with a drone, we also want to be able to make sure that we ourselves can defeat that drone because we know our adversaries are going to use it against us."
"[The drones Ukrainians have used] very effectively to attack the Russian fleet in Sebastopol ... look a lot like the drones that we've been using for targets [Hammerhead drones]. So, could we take that same thing and instead of using it to test our own ability to fire, load it full of explosives and send it in?"
"Can it really manage down to -40C? Battery performance tends to go downhill quite quickly in all those environments ... A lot of our stuff is very, very brittle. How well can you manipulate this stuff wearing heavy mittens and gloves?"

https://smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital/nationalpost/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/76869418-arctic_offshore_patrol_ship-w_0.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&w=1128&type=webp&sig=-bMVWiGfsHsAKp2V7nSUxw
Irving Shipbuilding is building these Arctic Offshore Patrol Ships for both the Royal Canadian Navy and Canadian Coast Guard. Photo: Cpl. Tony Chand/Courtesy

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